DALCORTRADER / PAPER

POLLED 0 MIN AGO

AS OF Thu Oct 15, 9:54 AM CDTVENUE CoinbaseSINCE Sat Oct 3, 3:16 PM CDT (11.8 days)

// Order book cb_book

its own decisions on Coinbase's BTC and ETH futures, from the live order book

WORTH

$9,911.51

from $10,000 at the start

AFTER ALL COSTS

−$88.49

−0.88% · 24h −$11.02 · worst dip 0.88%

OPEN BETS

all of it is cash

CLOSED BETS

1 won (9%) · −$88.49 after all costs

// worth over timehourly

$9,906$9,939$9,972$10,005

Oct 3Oct 9Oct 15

// closed bets, result after all costs, oldest first11 closed

$0.00$3.48$-12.22

Average per closed bet after costs: −$8.04 over 11 closed bets (1 won). The true average is likely between −$11.42 and −$4.67 (95% confidence). Below 20 bets that is too few bets to tell luck from skill, even though the range already excludes zero: a short streak can look like this.

// Costs so far

Fees $43.01 · slippage $22.55 (the price moving against us while an order fills) · funding has paid us $0.02

// open bets (0)prices as of the last poll

none right now

// last 5 closed betsnewest first, result after all costs

BTC long−$11.02

closed 11.4 hours ago after 44 minutes: fees $3.68, spread and slippage $1.82, funding paid $0.02; stop loss

BTC short+$3.48

closed 3.1 days ago after 4.0 hours: fees $3.78, spread and slippage $1.92, funding received $0.08; time stop

BTC short−$11.37

closed 3.4 days ago after 22 minutes: fees $3.80, spread and slippage $1.88, no funding; stop loss

BTC long−$11.43

closed 3.5 days ago after 1.4 hours: fees $3.79, spread and slippage $1.92, funding paid $0.02; stop loss

ETH long−$5.30

closed 3.8 days ago after 3.3 hours: fees $4.36, spread and slippage $1.97, funding paid $0.03; pressure reversed

// Decisions

2,881 in the last 24 hours, of which 1 was an entry. Not trading because: 2,381 × the market was too quiet to cover costs; 383 × the pressure readings did not agree; 56 × it was still gathering data; 15 × the spread was too wide

// betsall 11 · open first

	bet	opened	in at	size	result	how it ended
closed	BTC long	Wed Oct 14, 9:44 PM CDT	$81,245.60	$1,625	−$11.02	stop loss
closed	BTC short	Mon Oct 12, 3:02 AM CDT	$83,728.12	$1,675	+$3.48	time stop
closed	BTC short	Mon Oct 12, 12:32 AM CDT	$83,693.13	$1,674	−$11.37	stop loss
closed	BTC long	Sun Oct 11, 9:18 PM CDT	$83,844.40	$1,677	−$11.43	stop loss
closed	BTC short	Sun Oct 11, 12:14 PM CDT	$83,695.63	$1,674	−$12.22	stop loss
closed	ETH long	Sun Oct 11, 11:13 AM CDT	$2,532.77	$1,520	−$5.30	pressure reversed
closed	ETH long	Sat Oct 10, 9:28 AM CDT	$2,504.67	$1,503	−$4.60	time stop
closed	BTC long	Tue Oct 6, 10:10 AM CDT	$86,623.29	$1,732	−$11.73	stop loss
closed	BTC short	Tue Oct 6, 9:19 AM CDT	$86,076.94	$1,722	−$11.71	stop loss
closed	BTC short	Sun Oct 4, 7:19 AM CDT	$85,214.87	$1,704	−$3.30	pressure reversed
closed	BTC short	Sun Oct 4, 1:33 AM CDT	$84,969.99	$1,699	−$9.27	pressure reversed

Its own decisions on Coinbase's BTC and ETH futures, from the live order book.